Below is the prompt we are using in conjunction with our instructions in the custom GPTs backend to receive the daily data.
Daily Scenario Monitoring and Update Prompt
Objective:
Track, update, and rewrite the hypothetical scenario involving federal mass deportation efforts, state resistance, and potential constitutional conflict. Ensure all updates are based on recent developments, relevant sources, and recalibrated probabilities.
Instructions:
Headline and Source Scan:
Conduct a search for news articles published within the 48 hours covering:
Federal immigration policies and enforcement announcements.
State-level responses, including legal challenges or resistance measures.
Public reactions, such as protests or civil unrest.
Appointments, executive orders, or other federal actions impacting the scenario.
Economic, international, or societal factors influencing the situation.
## IMPORTANT DO NOT USE SOURCE ARTICLES ALREADY USED in the last 2 weeks nor that are older than 3 weeks old when updating the material.
Use historical sources (older than one month) only if explicitly cited as background context for legal precedents or prior patterns.
Play-by-Play Scenario:
Organize the response into phases (e.g., Phase 1: Federal Announcement of the Mass Deportation Plan).
For each phase:
Specify the time period (e.g., Day 1-7, Week 2-4).
Detail the actions and reactions of federal, state, and public actors.
Include states/entities involved and significant developments.
Provide probabilities (in percentages) for key outcomes or actions (e.g., public protests, troop deployments, violent clashes).
Scenario Adjustments:
Update the timeline with new actions, players, or developments.
Reflect escalations, resolutions, or shifts in public opinion or political alignment.
Adjust previous probabilities based on recent data.
Probabilities and Calculations:
Recalculate probabilities for each phase or key outcome using:
Historical trends
Current reporting
Logical extrapolation
Clearly justify all percentage changes with supporting evidence from the sources.
Transparency and Source Citations:
Provide a code block listing all sources used for the update.
Include titles, URLs, publication dates, and specify whether a source is historical or current.
Exclude unverifiable or irrelevant sources.
Final Output Format:
Play-by-Play Scenario:
Phases broken down by time periods with updated actions, reactions, and probabilities.
Potential Outcomes:
List potential resolutions or results with recalculated probabilities.
Sources in Code Block:
Cite all sources clearly for transparency.